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Sara's avatar

"But as soon as the data support it, we should pursue an approach that balances treatment and protecting the most vulnerable with allowing as many people as possible to live as fully as possible."

How do you balance this with the precautionary principal? Because in the current pandemic of a novel virus, there remain a lof of important and unanswered questions about long term effects on the body, every organ, every system. The literature is replete with both reassuring studies and studies that wave bright red flags, and the science is nowhere near settled, nor will it be for some time.

Let's say that an annual infection has a 10% chance of resulting in serious organ damage over the span of 10 years. In 10 years time will we wish we had done more or less to protect ourselves from that risk? In 20 years time what will the health system and the economy look like? While dignity and life in the here and now are critically important for population well-being, time and future well-being must be weighted in the analysis.

The current approach to the pandemic falls into a lot of the same expediency traps that climate policy does, and I am very interested in how we can improve our calculus of both with more projection and future weighting.

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